Last year’s shown in tan shows that we didn’t plant a lot of corn in the beginning of April.
50% of the US corn crop was planted in two weeks from about April 26th to May 10th. That is not likely to happen this year.
In general, if you get good planting conditions over a wide area of the US, we can plant 20% or more of the US crop on a good week. But we do not see a window allowing 20% to get planted next week or the following week.
This chart shows what is planted on a week-to-week basis.
Our 13-year average shows that our peak week are the first and second week of May when 18-19% of the crop is planted. So typically, we plant an average of 37% of the crop in the first two weeks of May.
Any time we plant 20% in one week that is a pretty good week, as you can see in 2020, we had 20% planted the last week of April and 24% planted the first week of May. So, we had a good start to the planting season.
Last year we got off to a relatively slow start, we didn’t plant much in April just a couple of percent by the last week but then we planted 29% the first week of May and 21% the second week of May.
Last year we planted 50% of the US corn crop in the first 2 weeks of May.
This year as for the second week of April the US is 2% planted, therefore we need to see a significant change in the weather pattern to accelerate planting. Unfortunately, that pattern doesn’t look to change at least not in the next week.
You can se by the 1st of April we are just getting started, normally just 3-5% or 5-6% planted by April.
Planting is relatively slow into the third week and then we really start to see the planting pick up as we move in to the last 10 days of April and first 10 days of May. That is when we plant about half the US corn crop.
USDA typically starts reporting plant progress for corn once it gets to 3-5% complete, we will see if they report today on planting progress or wait until next week.