This table shows topsoil moisture over the last 18 years and how its developed through the course of the growing season. This year the U.S was unusually dry in May during planting and that allowed for very good planting conditions and very little prevent plant. Then we got some rain in late May, things improved. Then the soil dried out again in June. Then we got some rain in late June into mid July and this improved. Now we’re starting to dry out again. It’s this roller coaster weather that’s creating the roller coaster prices. At 36% short to very short, we’re one of the drier years we’ve seen since the drought year of 2012 but its not too far off the long term average.